2009 NFL Week 10 Trends and Injury Report
As we head into Week Ten, the action is really heating up in the NFL and it all starts on Thursday, when Chicago faces San Francisco.
Both teams are coming off a loss and this is a must-win situation for both clubs The biggest game might Cincinnati at Pittsburgh as the Steelers hope to get revenge on one of the league’s surprise teams. But the glamour game is on Sunday night when Tom Brady and the New England Patriots travel to Indianapolis to take on Peyton Manning and the Colts.
Byes: Houston. NY Giants
Thursday, November 12, 2009:
Chicago at San Francisco:
Trends
Chi is:
1) 9-27-1 UNDER as a non-division road dog.
2) 2-8 ATS as a road dog of 7pts or less.
SF is:
1) 9-3 ATS L12 in series.
2) 6-0 ATS L6 at home in series.
Notes: Chi: S Al Afalava (shldr) is questionable. SF: RB G.Coffree (neck) is out. CB N.Clements (shldr) is out 5-7 weeks. DE D.Evans (shldr) is out 2 weeks. OT J.Staley (knee) is out 4-5 weeks.
Sunday, November 15
Jacksonville at NY Jets:
Trends
Jags are:
1) 4-0-1 OVER L5 on the road in November.
2) 5-0 ATS L5 in series.
3) 3-0 ATS L3 on the road in series.
4) 31-21-1 ATS vs. a non-division foe.
5) 11-0 OVER after having won 4 of 5 of their last 6 games.
Jets are:
1) 2-9 ATS after playing Miami.
2) 7-0 ATS after a bye.
3) 7-1 ATS vs. AFC South.
4) 7-3 ATS at home after a home game.
5) 13-2 ATS at home off a home loss.
Notes: Jax: OT M.Williams (knee) is questionable. WR E. Wilford (leg) is questionable. Jets: CB L.Sheppard (quad) is questionable.
Denver at Washington:
Trends
Den is:
1) 16-3 OVER L19 vs. NFC East.
2) 3-15 ATS before playing San Diego.
3) 10-6 OVER as a road fave.
4) 3-10 UNDER vs. NFC.
5) 1-5 ATS off a Monday Night game.
Wash is:
1) 6-2 ATS L8 in series since 1986.
2) 0-8-1 UNDER vs. the AFC.
3) 1-9 ATS at home vs. non-conference opponent.
4) 0-8 ATS in non-conference games.
Notes: Den: OL R. Harris (toe) is out 1-2 weeks. FB P.Hillis (personal) is questionable. Wash: RB C. Portis (concussion) is doubtful. RB L.Betts (ankle), P H. Smith (groin), CB B.Westbrook (knee), LB C. Wilson (toe), S R. Doughty (knee) are questionable. OT M.Williams (ankle) is out 2-4 weeks. TE C. Cooley (ankle) is out 3-4 weeks. S C. Horton (toe) is out 4-6 weeks.
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh:
Trends
Cincy is:
1) 6-1 OVER L7 on the road in series.
2) 12-5 OVER as a division road dog.
3) 24-15-1 ATS on the road.
4) 1-6 ATS off 2 straight home games.
Pitt is:
1) 8-3-1 ATS L12 in series.
2) 17-3-1 OVER as a division home fave.
3) 8-1 OVER playing with revenge.
Notes: Cin: LB K.Rivers (calf) and S R. L. Williams (forearm) are questionable. OG E. Mathis(ankle) is out. Pitt: S R. Clark (illness), DE T. Kirshke (calf) and LB L. Timmons (ankle) are questionable.
Buffalo at Tennessee:
Trends
Bills are:
1) 5-1 ATS away vs. AFC South.
2) 17-34 UNDER after allowing 30+ points.
Titans are:
1) 5-0 ATS L5 at home vs. AFC East foes.
2) 29-15-1 OVER at home.
3) 18-6 ATS as a home fave of 3.5 or less.
Notes: Buf: SS B.Scott (ankle), OL J. Scott (ankle), DE A.Schobel (groin) ar equestionable. CB T.McGee (knee) is out 2 weeks. Tenn: DE J.Kearse (knee), LB D. Thornton (hip), OT D. Stewart (hamstring), OT M.Otto (knee) are questionable. CB N. Harper (forearm) is out indef.
Detroit at Minnesota:
Trends
Det is:
1) 19-6 OVER as a road dog.
2) 19-6 OVER as a double digit dog.
Minn is:
1) 6-2 ATS L8 in series.
2) 3-1 ATS L4 at home in series.
3) 6-15 ATS as a favorite of 7.5 or more.
4) 2-5 ATS L7 as double digit faves.
5) 5-1 OVER as a favorite.
Notes: Det: S L.Delmas (leg) and DL G. Jackson (knee) are questionable. Minn: CB A.Winfield (foot) is out indef.
New Orleans at St. Louis:
Trends
Nor is:
1) 5-1 OVER L6 in series.
2) 3-1 ATS L4 on the road in series.
3) 5-1 ATS L6 vs. NFC West.
4) 1-4-1 ATS in 1st of BB road games.
5) 8-1 ATS as a road fave.
Rams are:
1) 3-1 ATS L4 in series.
2) 9-2 OVER as a non-division home dog.
3) 5-14 ATS at home.
Notes: NOR: DT S.Ellis (knee) is out 4-6 weeks. WR L.Moore (ankle), LB S.Fujita (calf) are questionable. CB J. Greer (groin) is doubtful. Stl: WR D.Amendola (concussion), LB P.Lenon (neck), TE R.McMichael (ribs) are questionable. OG R.Incognito (foot) is doubtful.
Atlanta at Carolina:
Trends
Atl is:
1) 2-12 UNDER L14 on the road in series.
2) 20-8-4 ATS as a division favorite.
3) 1-8 UNDER as a road fave.
Car is:
1) 8-4-1 ATS as a division dog.
2) 0-6 UNDER at home off a road loss.
Notes: Atl: OT S.Baker (ankle), WR B.Finneran (knee) are questionable. Car: FS C.Godfrey(ankle), WR M.Muhammad (knee), FB B. Hoover (ankle) are questionable. LB T.Davis (knee) was placed on the IR.
Tampa Bay at Miami:
Trends
TB is:
1) 6-1 ATS L7 in series.
2) 6-10 UNDER as a non-division road dog.
3) 22-47 UNDER off double digit win.
Fins are:
1) 8-23 ATS hosting a non-division foe.
2) 7-14-1 ATS as a home fave after a SU loss.
3) 0-6 ATS vs. NFC.
Notes: TB: WR A.Bryant (knee) is questionable. Mia: DT J.Ferguson (elbow) and LB C.Chowder (shldr) are questionable.
Kansas City at Oakland:
Trends
KC is:
1) 16-5 ATS L20 in series.
2) 6-0 ATS L6 on the road in series.
3) 9-20-1 UNDER as a road dog.
Oak is:
1) 1-8 UNDER L9 in series.
2) 5-18 ATS as a favorite.
3) 0-6 UNDER in November games.
Notes: KC: RB L.Johnson has been released. S J.McGraw (lower body) is questionable. Oak: OG R.Gallery(leg), LB J.Alston (shldr), DT G.Warren (toe) and OT C. Green (calf) are questionable.
Seattle at Arizona:
Trends
Sea is:
1) 5-2 OVER L7 in series.
2) 6-3 ATS as a division road dog.
3) 4-0 ATS in 1st of BB road games.
4) 12-2 OVER revenging a loss by 21+ points.
Ariz is:
1) 5-1 ATS L6 in series.
2) 4-1 ATS L5 at home in series.
3) 0-9 ATS as a home fave of 7.5 to 14 points.
Notes: Sea: OT S.Locklear (ankle) is questionable. Ariz: WR A.Boldin (ankle) is questionable.
Philadelphia at San Diego:
Trends
Philly is:
1) 15-8 ATS as a non-division road dog.
2) 20-6 OVER as a dog.
3) 7-1 ATS off a division loss.
SD is:
1) 4-1 ATS L5 in series.
2) 1-5 UNDER L6 Nov. home games.
3) 6-16-3 ATS as a home fave of 3.5 or less.
4) 1-6 ATS off BB Unders.
Notes: Phi:CB A.Samuel (neck), OT J.Peters (ankle), CB E.Hobbs (stinger), RB B.Westbrook (concussion), LB A. Jordan (knee) and S Q.Demps (ankle) are questionable. SD: C N.Hardwick (ankle) and LB K.Burnett (ankle) are questionable.
Dallas at Green Bay:
Trends
Dal is:
1) 8-2 ATS L10 in series.
2) 18-8 OVER as a single-digit dog.
3) 6-1 ATS vs. NFC.
GB is:
1) 11-2 OVER L13 in series.
2) 12-3 OVER as a home fave of 3.5 or less.
3) 15-10-1 ATS as a home fave of 3.5 or less.
4) 22-8 OVER vs. NFC.
Notes: Dal: No major key injuries. GB: LB B.Chillar (hand), OLB A.Kampman (concussion), and OT M. Tauscher (knee) are doubtful. WR J.Nelson (knee) is questionable.
New England at Indianapolis:
Trends
NE is:
1) 15-2-1 ATS L18 on the road in series.
2) 29-15 OVER as a dog.
3) 71-44 ATS as a dog.
Indy is:
1) 4-1 ATS L5 in series.
2) 10-2 ATS after playing Houston.
3) 9-14-1 ATS as a home fave of 3.5 or less.
4) 8-16 UNDER as a home fave of 3.5 or less.
Notes: NE: RB S.Morris (knee), OT M.Light (knee), C D.Koppen (knee) are questionable. Indy:WR A.Gonzalez (knee) is out indef. RB D.Brown (shldr) and WR A.Collie (upper body) is questionable. DB B.Sanders (elbow) and CB M.Jackson (knee) are on the IR.
Monday, November 16
Baltimore at Cleveland:
Trends
Balt is:
1) 8-2-1 OVER on grass.
2) 1-6 ATS as road faves of 6 or more points.
3) 16-5 ATS on grass.
Cleve is:
1) 4-1 ATS L5 at home in series.
2) 5-1 OVER L6 in series.
3) 7-12-1 UNDER as a division home dog.
4) 0-6 UNDER off non-conf. Games.
Notes: Balt:DL H.Ngata (ankle) is questionable. Cleve: TE R.Royal (flu) and DB E.Wright (upper body) are questionable.
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