2009 NFL Week 11 Trends and Injury Report

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There’s finally a full schedule this week with the bye week ending. The games are a little better this week, but injuries could play a major factor.

Just look at the NY Giants facing Atlanta at home, coming off a bye. Can Atlanta win if Michael Turner (ankle) doesn’t playquestionable. What about Buffalo facing Jacksonville, with new coach Perry Fewell, who was the team’s defensive coordinatorquestionable. It all starts on Thursday as a resurgent Carolina team takes on Miami at home.

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Thursday, November 19

Miami at Carolina:

Trends
Mia is:
1) 3-0 ATS in series.
2) 0-7 ATS in non-conference games.

Car is:
1) 1-6 UNDER L7 Nov. home games.
2) 9-4-1 OVER as a fave of 3 or less.
3) 12-33 UNDER off division win.

Notes: Mia: RB R.Brown (foot) is out indef. FS G.Wilson (hamstring) and TE A.Fasano (hip) are questionable. Car: OL J.Gross (leg) was place on the IR. FB B.Hoover (ankle) is out. DT D.Lewis (shldr) is questionable. DE C.Johnson (pectoral) is doubtful.

Sunday, November 22

Cleveland at Detroit:

Trends
Cleve is:
1) 5-0 ATS L5 Nov. road games.
2) 6-13-1 ATS on the road vs. NFC.
3) 7-20-3 UNDER as a non-division road dog.
4) 4-17 UNDER in dome games.

Det is:
1) 1-7 ATS L8 Nov. home games.
2) 1-7 ATS before playing Green Bay.
3) 1-5 ATS as home faves vs. opp. who are .333 or less.
4) 5-10 ATS as a non-conference favorite.
5) 13-21-1 ATS as a home favorite.
6)1-7 ATS in Weeks 10-13.

Notes: Cleve:WR/KR J.Cribbs (concussion), TE S.Heiden (ankle) are questionable. Det:LB L.Foote (wrist), S M. Manuel (shldr), LB E.Sims (leg), S. K.Pearson (hamstring) are questionable.

Buffalo at Jacksonville:

Trends
Buf is:
1) 5-2 ATS L7 in series.
2) 3-1 ATS L4 on the road in series.
3) 12-3 ATS away after allowing 35+ points.

Jags are:
1) 11-5-1 ATS L17 Nov. home games.
2) 11-7-1 ATS as a home fave of 3.5 or less.
3) 0-8 ATS as a home fave.

Notes: Buf: WR R. Parrish (knee), LB K.Ellison (quad), OL J.Scott (personal), DT K.Williams (knee) are questionable. HC D.Jauron has been fired. Jax:WR E.Wilford (ankle) is questionable. CB R.Mathis (groin) is doubtful.

Pittsburgh at Kansas City:

Trends
Pitt is:
1) 9-2-1 ATS L12 in series.
2) 7-2 ATS L9 on the road in series.
3) 13-3 ATS before playing Baltimore.
4) 8-20-1 ATS as a non-division road fave.
5) 8-28 UNDER away off SU loss.

KC is:
1) 4-0 OVER L4 in series.
2) 1-6 ATS vs. AFC North.
3) 40-19-2 ATS as a home dog.
4) 3-6 UNDER as a DD dog.
5) 5-14 ATS in home games.

Notes: Pitt: DE T. Kirschike (calf) is questionable. S T. Polamalu (knee) is doubtful. KC: WR D.Bowe (suspension) is out 4 games. LB M. Vrabel (knee) is questionable.

Indianapolis at Baltimore:

Trends
Indy is:
1) 5-0 ATS L5 in series.
2) 3-0 ATS L3 on the road in series.
3) 27-17-1 OVER away vs. a non-division foe.
4) 18-8-2 ATS as a road fave of 3.5 or less.
5) 6-2 ATS off home ATS loss/SU win.

Balt is:
1) 1-5 UNDER L6 in series.
2) 16-3-1 OVER as a dog.
3) 36-13 ATS hosting a non-division foe.
4) 5-14 UNDER vs. AFC South.

Notes: Indy:WR A.Gonzalez (knee) is out indef. Balt: DT H.Ngata (ankle) and LB T.Gooden (concussion) are questionable. LB T.Suggs (knee) is out indef.

Atlanta at New York Giants:

Trends
Atl is:
1) 5-0 ATS L5 on the road in series.
2) 1-10 UNDER L11 in series since 1981.
3) 5-2 ATS after playing Carolina.
4) 27-7 OVER off road division loss.

NYG are:
1) 14-5 ATS off a home game.

Notes: Atl:RB M.Turner (ankle) is doubtful. OT S.Baker (anke) and RB J.Norwood (hip) are questionable. NYG: CB A.Ross (hamstring) is questionable.

San Francisco at Green Bay:

Trends
SF is:
1) 1-4 ATS L5 on the road in series.
2) 4-16 ATS away after allowing 9pts.

GB is:
1) 11-2-1 ATS L14 in series.
2) 19-5 OVER off ATS win.

Notes: WR I.Bruce (ankle), LB T.Spikes (hamstring) are questionable. CB N.Clements (shldr) is out 4-6 weeks. OT J.Staley (knee) is out at least 4 weeks. GB: OL D.Colledge (leg), LB B. Poppinga (quad), OT M. Tauscher (knee) are questionable.

Seattle at Minnesota:

Trends
Sea is:
1) 0-3 UNDER in series in Minnesota.
2) 19-9 OVER as a road dog of 7 or more.
3) 6-15 ATS as a dog.

Minn is:
1) 6-0 OVER L6 at home in November.
2) 4-15 ATS as a favorite of 7.5 or more.
3) 19-34 ATS off win by 14+ points.

Notes: Sea: RB J.Jones (ribs) is out. Min:CB A.Winfield (foot) is questionable.

Washington at Dallas:

Trends
Wash is:
1) 6-2 ATS L8 in series.
2) 15-7-1 ATS on the road vs. a division foe.
3) 9-18 UNDER as a road dog of 7 or more.
4) 49-72 ATS vs. division.

Dal is:
1) 1-3 ATS L4 at home in series.
2) 3-9-1 ATS as a division home fave.
3) 12-23-1 ATS as a DD fave.
4) 29-14 ATS in home Nov. games.

Notes: Wash:OT M.Williams (ankle) and DT A.Haynesworth (ankle) are questionable. RB C.Portis (concussion) is doubtful. Dal: S M.Hamlin (head) is out 2-4 weeks. OL M.Colombo (leg) is out 6 weeks.

New Orleans at Tampa Bay:

Trends
NOR is:
1) 8-3 ATS L11 Nov. road games.
2) 6-1 OVER L7 in series.
3) 12-4 ATS as a division road fave.
4) 5-1 ATS L6 on the road in series.
5) 8-1 ATS off a road game.

Bucs are:
1) 1-6 ATS before playing Atlanta.
2) 16-8-1 ATS as a home dog.
3) 14-6 OVER as a home dog.
4) 25-13-1 OVER hosting a division foe.

Notes: NOR: CB T.Porter (leg) is out 4-6 weeks. DT S.Ellis (knee) is out 2-4 weeks. S D.Sharper (knee), WR L. Moore (ankle) and CB J.Greer (groin) are questionable. TB: no serious key injuries.

Arizona at St. Louis:

Trends
Ariz is:
1) 8-3ATS L11 Nov. road games.
2) 4-1 ATS L5 in series.
3) 4-1 ATS L5 on the road in series.
4) 22-11 ATS on turf.
5) 12-1 ATS if 50+ total points were scored last game.

Rams are:
1) 1-4 ATS before playing Seattle.
2) 6-19-1 ATS as a division home dog.
3) 3-11 ATS vs. division .
Notes: Ariz: ILB C.Okeafor (back) and LB G.Hayes (back) are questionable. Stl:WR K. Burton (leg) was placed on the IR.

NY Jets at New England:

Trends
Jets are:
1) 10-3 ATS L13 on the road in series.
2) 16-7-1 ATS as a division road dog.
3) 8-21 UNDER after 2 straight home games.

Pats are:
1) 7-4 ATS L11 in series.
2) 25-15-1 ATS as a division fave.
3) 26-10 ATS playing with same season revenge.

Notes: LB V.Gholston (hasmtring) is questionable. S J.Leonhard (thumb) is out indef. NE: DT T.Warren (knee), OT M.Light (knee), SS B.Merriweather (foot), LB T. Banta-Cain (ribs), RB S.Mooris (knee), C D.Koppen (knee), OG S.Neal (head) are questionable.

Cincinnati at Oakland:

Trends
Cincy is:
1) 5-1 ATS L6 in series.
2) 6-1 ATS in 2ned of BB road games.
3) 0-8ATS after playing Pittsburgh.

Oak is:
1) 7-2 ATS L9 at home in series.
2) 2-8 UNDER L10 in series.
3) 1-6 ATS vs. AFC North.
4) 0-8 UNDER off home loss.

Notes: RB C.Benson (hip) is probable. LB K.Rivers (calf) is questionable. Oak:WR J.Walker (hamstring), DE G.Ellis (knee) are questionable.

San Diego at Denver:

Trends
SD is:
1) 6-2 OVER L8 Nov. road games.
2) 5-1-1 ATS 7 in series.
3) 10-3 ATS off BB ATS losses.

Denver
1) 14-4 OVER off SU loss.

Notes: SD: C N. Hardwick (ankle), LB T.Dobbins (knee) and LB J.Tucker (ankle) are questionable. Den:FB P.Hillis (personal) is questionable. QB K.Orton (ankle) is upgraded to probable.

Philadelphia at Chicago:

Trends
Philly is:
1) 1-3 ATS L4 in series.
2) 7-14 UNDER as a non-division road fave.
3) 7-2 OVER this season.

Chi is:
1) 5-1 ATS L6 as a home dog.
2) 16-7 ATS as a home dog after a SU loss.
3) 6-0 ATS off BB ATS losses.

Notes: Phi: RB B.Westbrook (concussion) is out. OT J.Peters (ankle), LB A.Jordan (knee) and S Q.Demps (ankle) are questionable. CB E.Hobbs (neck) was placed on the IR. CB S.Brown (hamstring) is doubtful. Chi: S A.Afalava (shldr), OT O.Pace (concussion), CB Z.Bowman (abdominal), TE D.Clark (kneck) are questionable.

Monday, November 23

Tennessee at Houston:

Trends
Tenn is:
1) 5-1 OVER L6 on the road in series.
2) 5-2 ATS L7 in series.
3) 3-1 ATS L4 on the road in series.
4) 0-4 ATS as Monday Night division dogs.
5) 5-1 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Hou is:
1) 19-7 OVER in division play.
2) 8-1 ATS vs. division opponents in November.
3) 12-7 ATS hosting a division foe.

Notes: Tenn: DE J.Kearse (knee), WR J.Gage (back) and CB N.Harper (forearm) are questionable. Hou: no serious key injuries.

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