2009 NFL Week 12 Trends and Injury Report

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As we head into Week 12, the action is really heating up in the NFL and it all starts on Thursday with three games on Thanksgiving. Unfortunately, neither of them are enticing save for possibly Denver hosting the NY Giants. It does get more interesting on Sunday with several key games, now that the playoffs are only weeks away.

The biggest game of the weekend and possibly game of the year, takes place on Monday night, when undefeated New Orleans hosts New England.

Thursday, November 26

Green Bay at Detroit:

Trends
GB is:
1) 6-1 ATS L7 in series.
2) 3-0 ATS L3 on the road in series.
3) 28-6-1 OVER on turf.
4) 9-14-2 ATS as a turf road fave.
5) 20-5 OVER off ATS win.

Det is:
1)3-7 OVER L10 in series.

Notes: GB: RB A.Green (groin) is doubtful. OLB A. Kampman (knee) and CB A.Harris (knee) are out for the season. C S.Wells (knee) is questionable. DE C.Jenkins (ankle) is questionable. Det: S K.Simpson (knee) is out. S K.Pearson (hamstring) doubtful. WR C.Johnson (knee) is doubtful. DE D. White (toe) and LB E.Sims (hamstring) are questionable. QB M.Stafford (shldr) is doubtful.

Oakland at Dallas:

Trends
Oak is:
1) 15-5 ATS L20 Nov. road games.
2) 3-0 ATS L3 on the road in series.
3) 3-11 UNDER vs. the AFC.
4) 0-7 UNDER off an OVER>

Dal is:
1) 16-2 ATS as a home fave in November vs. <.500 opponents.
2) 12-23-1 ATS as a DD fave.
3) 21-9 ATS at home off BB ATS losses.

Notes: Oak:DE R.Seymour (back) and WR J.Walker (hamstring) are questionable. Dal:QB T.Romo (back) is probable. CB M.Jenkins (elbow) and TE J.Witten (foot) are questionable.S K.Hamlin (ankle) is out. OT M.Colombo (ankle) is out 6 weeks.

NY Giants at Denver:

Trends
Giants are:
1) 6-3 ATS L9 Nov. road games.
2) 18-5 ATS in road games.

Den is:
1) 22-9-2 OVER as a home fave of 3.5 or less.
2) 2-12 ATS off ATS loss.
Notes: NYG:LB A.Pierce (neck) is out indef. RB A.Bradshaw (ankle) is doubtful. OG R.Seubert and WR H. Nicks are questionable. Den: QB K.Orton (ankle) is probable. RB L.Jordan (back) is questionable.

Sunday, November 29

Indianapolis at Houston:

Trends
Indy is:
1) 8-1 OVER L9 in series.
2) 16-5 UNDER off road win by 3pts or less.

Hou is:
1) 5-1 ATS L6 in series.
2) 5-1 ATS L6 at home in series.
3) 10-5 ATS as a division home dog.
4) 10-5 OVER as a home dog.
5) 8-1 ATS vs. division opponents in November.
6) 27-11 ATS off BB SU losses.
Notes: Indy:TE T.Santi (neck) is questionable. CB K.Hayden (leg) is doubtful. Hou:S E.Wilson (toe) is doubtful.

Cleveland at Cincinnati:

Trends
Cleve is:
1) 2-6 UNDER L8 in series.
2) 6-11 ATS away in division play.
3) 17-6-2 OVER as a division road dog.
4) 6-0 ATS after scoring 30+ points.

Cincy is:
1) 6-14 ATS as a fave of 7 or more.
2) 0-6 UNDER after outrushing last opp. By 75+ yds.

Notes: Cleve:CB C.Franices (knee) is questionable. Cincy:RB C.Benson (hip) is probable. OG E.Mathis (ankle) and LB K.Rivers (calf) are questionable.

Chicago at Minnesota:

Trends
Chic is:
1) 5-1-1 OVER L7 in series.
2) 1-5 ATS L6 games.

Vikes are:
1) 3-1 ATS L4 at home in series.
2) 6-15-1 ATS as a favorite of 7.5 or more.
3) 2-5 ATS as DD faves.
Notes: Chi: RB G.Wolfe (kidney) is out 2-4 weeks. Minn:CB A.Winfield (foot) and LB B.Leber (knee) are questionable.

Washington at Philadelphia:

Trends
Wash is:
1) 7-3 ATS L10 in series.
2) 3-9 UNDER L12 in series.
3) 3-1 ATS L4 on the road in series.
4) 2-10 UNDER playing with revenge.

Philly is:
1) 2-7 ATS at home off BB road games.
2) 8-3 ATS after having lost 2 out of last 3 games.

Notes: Wash: DT A.Haynesworth (ankle), CB D.Hall (knee) OT M.Williams (ankle) are questionable. RB C.Portis (concussion) is out. Phi:CB S.Brown (hamstring), LB A.Jordan (knee), OT J.Peters (ankle), DE J.Parker (undisclosed) are questionable. RB B.Westbrook (concussion) is out.

Miami at Buffalo:

Trends
Mia is:
1) 1-6 UNDER L7 in series.
2) 7-3-1 OVER as a division road fave.
3) 7-0 ATS away off SU win.

Buf is:
1) 8-3 ATS L11 in series.
2) 0-6 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards.

Notes: Mia: DT J.Ferguson (quad) is out for season. C J.Grove (ankle), TE A.Fasano (hip) are questionable. Buf:RB M.Lynch (shldr), CB A.Youboty (ankle), CB T.McGee (knee) and DT M. Stroud (knee) are questionable. OL D. Bell (knee) is out indef.

Arizona at Tennessee:

Trends
Ariz is:
1) 1-6 ATS after playing St. Louis.
2) 12-25-1 ATS away vs. a non-division foe.
3) 4-14 UNDER as road fave of 3.5 or less.
4) 13-3 OVER off an UNDER.

Tenn is:
1) 8-2 OVER L10 vs. NFC West.
2) 10-3-2 ATS L15 vs. NFC West.
3) 16-3-1 ATS as a non-conf. dog. (if applies).
4) 15-5 ATS hosting an NFC team.
5) 27-11-1 ATS vs. the NFC.

Notes: Ariz: CB B.McFadden (knee) and ILB C.Okeafor (back) are questionable. QB K. Warner (head) is probable. Tenn: DL K.Vanden Bosch (knee), WR J.Gage (back) and DE J.Kearse (knee) are questionable.

Seattle at St. Louis:

Trends
Sea is:
1) 5-0 ATS L4 in series.
2) 3-1 ATS L4 on the road in series.
3) 8-16 ATS as a road favorite.
4) 17-6 OVER off loss by 21+ points.

Rams are:
1) 1-6 UNDER L7 Nov. home games.
2) 6-19-1 ATS as a division home dog.
3) 0-4 ATS after playing Arizona.
4) 0-10 ATS as division home dogs of 4 or more points.
5) 7-22 ATS revenging same season loss.

Notes: Sea:RB J.Jones (lung), CB J.Wilson (concussion) are questionable. Stl: QB M.Bulger (tibia) is out 3-6 weeks. QB Kyle Boller will start. OT J.Smith (head), OG R.Incognito (foot), FB M.Karney (neck), DE L.Little (back) are questionable.

Tampa Bay at Atlanta:

Trends
TB is:
1) 4-0 ATS L4 in series.
2) 7-2 ATS L9 on the road in series.
3) 1-5 ATS after a home game with New Orleans.

Atl is:
1) 9-2 ATS as division faves of 7 or more points.
2) 20-9-4 ATS as a division favorite.
3) 7-1 OVER vs. conference.
Notes: TB: no serious key injuries. Atl: WR B.Finneran (knee), RB J.Norwood (hip) are questionable. RB M.Turner (ankle) is doubtful.

Carolina at NY Jets:

Trends
Car is:
1) 3-1 ATS L4 in series.
2) 26-16-2 ATS on the road.

Jets are:
1) 9-3 OVER L12 in Nov. home games.
2) 1-6-1 ATS before Buffalo.
3) 12-26 UNDER as a non-conference favorite.
4) 3-11 ATS at home off a road game.

Notes: Car:OT J.Gross (leg) was placed on the IR. FB B.Hoover (ankle), FS C.Godfrey (ankle) are questionable. NYJ: OT D.Woody (flu) and LB V.Gholston (hamstring) are questionable.

Jacksonville at San Francisco:

Trends
Jax is:
1) 32-22-1 ATS vs. a non-division foe.
2) 19-12 OVER as a single-digit dog.
3) 12-1 OVER after gaining 75 or less rushing yards.

SF is:
1) 1-5 ATS before playing Seattle.
2) 6-12 UNDER as a home fave of 3.5 or less.
3) 1-9 ATS at home if the total is between 38.5 and 42.

Notes: Jax:LB J.Durant (head), LB B.Smith (shldr), and OT M.Williams (knee) are questionable. SF: WR A.Battle (leg), OG D.Baas (ankle), S M.Roman (ribs), DB R.Smith (groin), S M.Roman (ribs), LB T.Spikes (hamstring) are questionable.

Kansas City at San Diego:

Trends
KC is:
1) 7-1 ATS L8 Nov. road games.
2) 5-3 ATS L8 in series.
3) 1-5 ATS before playing Denver.
4) 9-1 ATS as a DD dog.

SD is:
1) 9-1 ATS after playing Denver.
2) 4-9-1 UNDER as a division home fave.
3) 23-40 UNDER at home vs. division.

Notes: KC: LB M.Vrabel (knee) is out indef. WR D.Bowe (suspension) is out another 3 games. SD: C N.Hardwick (ankle) is questionable.

Pittsburgh at Baltimore:

Trends
Pitt is:
1) 2-10 UNDER L12 Nov. road games.
2) 21-9-2 ATS as a division road team.
3) 4-1 OVER L5 in series.

Balt is:
1) 5-1 OVER L6 at home in series.
2) 4-1 ATS L5 at home in series.
3) 16-3-1 OVER as a dog.
4) 2-8 ATS off 4+ unders.

Notes: Pit: QB B.Roethlisberger (head) is probable. S T.Polamalu (knee) is out 3-4 weeks. QB C.Batch (wrist) is out at least 6 weeks. OG C.Kemoeatu (knee) is doubtful. DE T.Kirschke (calf) is questionable. Bal:OLB T.Suggs (leg) is doubtful. CB F.Washington (knee) was placed on the IR.

Monday, November 30

New England at New Orleans:

Trends
NE is:
1) 6-1 OVER L7 in series.
2) 30-15 OVER as a dog.
3) 11-4-1 ATS on the road vs. the NFC.

NOR is:
1) 6-1 ATS L7 in series.
2) 19-28-1 ATS at home.
3) 7-11-2 ATS hosting a non-division team.

Notes: NE: WR S.Aiken (hip), RB S.Morris (knee), OT M. Light (knee), OG S.Neal (head), CB S.Springs (kene) are questionable. NOR: CB T.Porter (knee) is out 3-5 weeks. WR L. Moore (ankle) is questionable.

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