2009 NFL Week 16 Trends and Injury Report

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As we head into Week 16, the Colts are now the only undefeated left. This week is all about the teams fighting for the playoff spots. This week is highlighted by a huge AFC contest between Pittsburgh and Baltimore and a strong non-conference game between Denver and Philadelphia in the City of Brotherly Love.

Friday, December 25

San Diego at Tennessee:

Trends
SD is:
1) 5-0 ATS L5 in series.
2) 13-3 ATS vs. AFC South.
3) 8-3 OVER as a non-division road fave.

Tenn is:
1) 20-9-1 OVER as a home dog.
2) 28-13 OVER hosting a non-division foe.
3) 1-8 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points.

Notes: SD: C N.Hardwick (ankle) and LB K.Burnett (neck) are questionable. Tenn: WR N.Washington (ankle) is questionable.

Sunday, December 27

Seattle at Green Bay:

Trends
Sea is:
1) 20-10 OVER as a road dog of 7 or more.
2) 6-19-1 ATS as a non-division road dog.
3) 0-7 ATS as a dog.

GB is:
1) 4-7-1 ATS L12 Dec. home games.
2) 14-1 OVER off 4+ ATS wins.

Notes: Sea: LB A.Curry (stinger), LB D.D. Lewis (knee) are questionable.WR N.Burleson (ankle) is dbtful. GB: DT R.Pickett (hamstring), LB N. Barnett (knee) are questionable.

Oakland at Cleveland:

Trends
Oak is:
1) 3-6 ATS vs. AFC North.
2) 8-15 UNDER as a dog of 3 or less.
3) 27-55 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3.

Cleve is:
1) 4-0 ATS L4 in series.
2) 2-14 UNDER as a home fave of 3.5 or less.
3) 7-0 ATS after scoring 30+ points last game.

Notes: Oak: QB B.Gradkowski (knee), G Cooper Carlisle (knee), TE Z.Miller (concussion), WR D.Heyward-Bey (foot) and QB C.Frye (head) are questionable. Cleve:DL R.Smith (groin) is questionable.

Kansas City at Cincinnati:

Trends
KC is:
1) 1-6 UNDER L7 Dec. road games.
2) 1-6 ATS before playing Denver.
3) 8-2 ATS L10 as DD dogs.
4) 20-4 OVER off 3+ ATS losses.

Cincy is:
1) 1-6 UNDER L7 in series.
2) 4-2 ATS at home vs. AFC West.
3) 0-6 ATS L6 as a fave.

Notes: KC: OG B.Waters (hamstring) and DE G. Dorsey (knee) are questionable. Cin: RB B.Scott (toe) is questionable. S C.Crocker (ankle) is out.

Buffalo at Atlanta:

Trends
Buff is:
1) 11-2 ATS L13 Dec. road games.
2) 6-0 OVER L6 in series.
3) 3-1 ATS L4 in series.
4) 2-8 UNDER L10 weeks.

Atl is:
1) 9-21 UNDER as a favorite vs. the AFC.
2) 18-26-1 ATS as a non-division home fave.
3) 0-6 ATS off BB ATS wins.

Notes: Buf: QB R.Fitzpatrick (ankle) and OT J.Meredith (ankle) are questionable. QB B.Brohm is expected to start. Atl:RB M.Turner (ankle), DE J.Anderson (chest), CB C.Houston (hamstring) and OG H.Dahl (ankle) are questionable.

Houston at Miami:

Trends
Hou is:
1) 11-3 ATS in 2nd of BB road games.
2) 1-6 ATS vs. AFC East.
3) 15-5 ATS as a road dog after a road game.

Miami is:
1) 5-11 ATS L16 Dec. home games.
2) 8-24 ATS hosting a non-division foe.
3) 0-9 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points.

Notes: Hou: OT D.Brown (knee) is questionable. Mia: DE L.Dotson (ankle) is questionable.

Carolina at NY Giants:

Trends
Car is:
1) 10-3 OVER L13 Dec. road games.
2) 1-4 ATS before playing Saints.
3) 28-17-2 ATS on the road.
4) 9-2 ATS L11 in December.

NYG are:
1) 4-1 OVER L5 in series.
2) 8-1 ATS after playing Washington.
3) 9-1-3 OVER as a non-division home fave.

Notes: Car: QB J.Delhomme (finger), RB D.Williams (ankle) are questionable. NYG: WR H. Nicks (hamstring), OG R. Seubert (knee), CB C.Webster (knee), DB A.Ross (hamstring) are questionable. OT K.McKenzie (knee) is out.

Tampa Bay at New Orleans:

Trends
TB is:
1) 7-3 ATS L10 on road in series.
2) 6-2 OVER L8 in series.
3) 10-17 UNDER in December road games.
4) 0-6 ATS off a road game.

NO is:
1) 3-14 ATS as a division home fave.
2) 7-0 ATS off a SU loss.

Notes: TB: WR M.Clayton (knee), FS T.Jackson (knee) are questionable. NO: RB R. Bush (hamstring), CB R. Gay (head), TE J.Shockey (toe), DT S.Ellis (knee) are questionable. CB J.Greer (groin) is out.

Jacksonville at New England:

Trends
Jax is:
1) 2-6 ATS L8 Dec. road games.
2) 1-7 ATS vs. a non-division foe.
3) 0-6 ATS off a division loss.

NE is:
1) 3-1 ATS L4 in series.
2) 3-1 ATS L4 at home in series.
3) 12-3 ATS at home in December off a division game.
4) 44-18-2 ATS as a non-division home fave.
5) 22-10 ATS L2 weeks of the regular season.

Notes: Jax:LB Q.Groves (knee) is questionable. NE: DE T.Warren (ankle), OG S. Neal (ankle), DT V.Wilfork (foot), OT N. Kaczur (head), RB F.Taylor (ankle) are questionable.

Baltimore at Pittsburgh:

Trends
Balt is:
1)  8-1 OVER L9 on road in series.
2)14-6 ATS as a division road dog.
3) 5-1 OVER L6 in series.

Pitt is:
1) 27-13 ATS as a December home fave.
2) 4-18 ATS as a home fave of 3.5 or less.
3) 15-6 OVER as a home fave of 3.5 or less.
4) 3-10 ATS L13 as a fave.

Notes: Balt:WR K.Washington (ankle), OT J.Gaither (foot), WR M.Clayton (hamstring), FS E.Reed (hip) are questionable. Pit: OG C.Kemoeatu (wrist), WR H.Ward (hamstring) are questionable. S T.Polamalu (knee) is doubtful.

Denver at Philadelphia:

Trends
Den is:
1) 6-15-1 ATS L22 Dec. road games.
2) 16-6 OVER L22 vs. NFC East.
3) 4-11 UNDER vs. the NFC.
4) 1-11 ATS off an OVER.

Philly is:
1) 3-1 ATS L4 at home in series.
2) 12-6 OVER in final home game.
3) 11-3 OVER off an UNDER.

Notes: Den: CB T.Law (hamstring), SS R.Hill (ankle), RB C.Buckhalter (ankle) are questionable. Phi: WR J.Maclin (foot), DB Q.Demps (ankle), QB M.Vick (quad) are questionable.

St. Louis at Arizona:

Trends
Stl is:
1) 6-13 UNDER on grass.
2) 34-20-2 OVER as a road dog of 7 or more.
3) 5-1 OVER off an ATS win.

Ariz is:
1) 8-4 ATS L12 in series.
2) 13-5 ATS L18 Dec. home games.
3) 1-9 ATS as a home fave of 7.5 to 14 points.

Notes: Stl: DE L.Little (knee0, OT J.Smith (concussion), QB K.Null are questionable. Ariz: OT M.Gandy (pelvis) is out 3-6 weeks. LB W.Davis (knee), PK N.Rackers (groin), DE K.Iwebema (shldr) are questionable.

Detroit at San Francisco:

Trends
Det is:
1) 0-5-1 UNDER L6 in series.
2) 1-3 ATS L4 in series.
3) 4-14 ATS away vs. NFC West.

SF is:
1) 8-2-1 ATS L11 in series.
2) 0-6 UNDER at home in series.

Notes: Det: QB M.Stafford (shldr) is doubtful. FS L.Delmas (ankle), CB P.Buchanon (shldr), DT A.Fluellen (groin) are questionable. SF: WR I.Bruce (ankle), CB N.Clements (shldr), PK J.Nedney (hamstring), RB G.Coffee (hamstring) are questionable.

NY Jets at Indianapolis:

Trends
Jets are:
1) 8-2 ATS L10 Dec. road games.
2) 3-1 ATS L4 in series.
3) 7-2 ATS vs. AFC South.
4) 1-9 UNDER L4 weeks of the reg. season.

Indy is:
1) 3-1 ATS L4 at home in series.
2) 22-7 ATS off BB covers as a fave.

Notes: NYJ: C N.Mangold (illness) is questionable. Indy: WR A.Gonzalez (knee), RB D.Brown (chest), DB A.Bethea (foot), OT C.Johnson (foot), RB J.Addai (knee), DE R.Brock (back), PK A.Vinatieri (knee), DE D. Freeney (abdominal), DT K.Dawson (knee), LB G. Brackett (foot) are questionable.

Dallas at Washington:

Trends
Dal is:
1) 8-3 ATS L11 on road in series.
2) 1-5 ATS L6 in series.
3) 2-9 ATS in December.

Wash is:
1) 9-3 ATS L12 Dec. home games.
2) 3-10 UNDER playing with revenge.

Notes: Dal: S P.Watkins (knee) is out. Wash:WR D.Thomas (ankle), DT C.Griffin (shldr), OT S.Heyer (knee) are questionable.

Monday, December 28

Minnesota at Chicago:

Trends
Minn is:
1) 3-7-1 ATS L11 on the road in series.
2) 5-22 ATS in final road game of the season.
3) 4-11 ATS as a division road fave.

Chi is:
1) 5-2-1 OVER L8 in series.
2) 3-9 ATS as a division home dog

Notes: Minn: WR P. Harvin (neck) is questionable. Chi: WR D.Hester (calf), LT O.Pace (groin). DL A. Ongunleye (fibula) is out for the season.

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