2009 NFL Week 9 Trends and Injury Report

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As we head into Week 9, there are now just two undefeated teams after Monday night. Indianapolis and New Orleans were tested last week, but both are home and should get the victory. With the Brett Favre-coming-back-to-Green-Bay saga over, there’s not as much intrigue this week.

The best game might be on Monday night when Denver, coming off their first loss, takes on Pittsburgh off a bye. It’s never a good thing for an opponent to not have rest and face a team like New England or Pittsburgh.

Byes: Buffalo, Cleveland, Minnesota, NY Jets, Oakland St. Louis.

Sunday, November 8

Kansas City at Jacksonville:

Trends
KC is:
1) 9-19-1 UNDER as a road dog.
2) 0-6 ATS off a division home game.
3) 0-4 ATS after playing San Diego.
4)18-6 ATS away of loss by 10+ points.

Jax is:
1) 3-1 ATS L4 in series.
2) 5-0 ATS vs. AFC West.
3) 31-18-1 ATS vs. a non-division foe.
4) 0-7 ATS as a home fave.

Notes: KC :RB L.Johnson (suspension) is out. Jax: OT M.Williams (knee) is questionable. DE G. Peterson (knee) is questionable.

Baltimore at Cincinnati:

Trends
Balt is:
1) 14-6 ATS as a division road dog.
2) 7-3 OVER L10 on road in series.
3) 7-1-1 OVER L9 on the road in November.
4) 10-2 ATS as a favorite.

Cincy is:
1) 3-1 ATS L4 at home in series.
2) 9-1 ATS before playing Pittsburgh.
3) 6-1 OVER off SU home dog win by 10 or more.

Notes: Balt: DT H. Ngata (ankle) is questionable. Cin: no key recent injuries.

Houston at Indianapolis:

Trends
Hou is:
1) 4-1 ATS L5 in series.
2) 10-2 ATS in 2nd of BB road games.
3) 4-15 ATS as a road dog after a SU win.
4) 9-1 OVER as a division road dog.
5) 10-2 OVER in dome games.

Indy is:
1) 11-25-2 ATS as a division home fave of 6.5 or more.
2) 8-0 OVER L9 in series.
3) 6-1 OVER at home vs. Houston.

Notes: TE O.Daniels (knee) is on the IR. Indy: WR A.Gonzalez (knee), RB D. Brown (shldr), CB K. Hayden (leg) and CB M.Jackson (knee) are questionable.

Washington at Atlanta:

Trends
Wash is:
1) 8-18 UNDER as a road dog of 7 or more.
2) 6-12 UNDER off SU loss.

Atl is:
1) 17-25-1 ATS as a non-division home fave.
2) 0-3 ATS vs. NFC East.

Notes: Wash: LB H.Blades (knee) is out. OL C.Rinehart (shldr) is questionable. TE C.Cooley (ankle) is out at least 4 weeks. Atl: RB J.Norwood (hip), S A. Harris (knee) and DT T. Johnson (calf) are questionable.

Green Bay at Tampa Bay:

Trends
GB is:
1) 18-8-1 ATS on the road.
2) 1-5 ATS vs.NFC South.
3) 17-8-1 OVER as a road fave vs. a non-division foe.
4) 21-8 OVER vs. NFC.

Bucs are:
1) 4-1 ATS after a bye.
2) 12-6 OVER as a home dog.
3) 15-7-1 ATS as a home dog.
4) 34-22-3 ATS hosting a non-division team.
5) 3-1-1 ATS L5 Nov. home games.
6) 1-6 ATS this season.

Notes: GB: WR J. Nelson (knee) is doubtful. FS N.Collins (ankle) is questionable. LB B.Chillar (hand) is out 2 weeks. TB: QB J.Freeman will start. DE K. Moore (groin) is questionable.

Arizona at Chicago:

Trends
Ariz is:
1) 11-25-1 ATS away vs. a non-division foe.
2) 27-9-1 OVER away vs. a non-division foe.
3) 10-3 OVER L13 on the road in November.
4) 10-1 ATS if 50+ total points were scored last game.

Chi is:
1) 0-4 ATS as faves in 2nd of BB home games.
2) 9-2 OVER as a non-division home fave.
3) 19-10-1 ATS as a non-division home fave.
4) 1-11 ATS after game with +4 TO margin of better.

Notes: Ariz: WR A. Boldin (ankle) is doubtful. Chi: S C.Steltz (bicep) is questionable.

Miami at New England:

Trends
Fins are:
1) 3-10 UNDER as a double-digit dog.
2) 1-5 ATS after playing NY Jets.
3) 6-12-1 ATS as a division road dog.
4) 1-4 ATS vs. an opponent off a bye.
5) 7-3 ATS L10 Nov. road games.
6) 13-31 ATS off SU dog win.

Pats are:
1) 3-1 ATS L4 at home in series.
2) 7-17 UNDER as a division home fave.
3) 5-1 ATS after a bye.
4) 1-10 UNDER at home off bye week.

Notes: Mia: LB C.Chowder (shldr) is doubtful. NE: OT M.Light (knee), DL T.Warren (ankle), RB S. Morris (knee) are questionable.

Carolina at New Orleans:

Trends
Car is:
1) 7-1 ATS L8 on the road in series.
2) 0-7 ATS before facing Atlanta.
3) 24-17-2 ATS on the road.
4) 8-4-1 ATS as a division dog.
5) 1-5 ATS off SU win by 10+ as dog of 6+

NO is:
1) 5-0-1 ATS after playing Atlanta.
2) 3-12 ATS as a division home fave.
3) 3-9 ATS as a DD fave.
4) 2-7 UNDER L9 in series.

Notes: Car: WR M. Muhammad (knee), FS C.Godfrey (foot) are questionable. NO: DT S. Ellis (knee) is out 4-6 weeks. LB S.Fujita (calf) and WR L.Moore (shin) are questionable.

Detroit at Seattle:

Trends
Det is:
1) 0-5 ATS vs. NFC West.
2) 19-7 OVER as a road dog.
3) 2-11 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Sea is:
1) 6-0 ATS before playing Arizona.
2) 17-5 OVER at home off loss by 14+ points.

Notes: Det: DE J.Hunter (ankle) is questionable. Sea: CB K.Lucas (shldr) is questionable. OL S. Locklear (ankle), SS C.J. Wallace (hamstring) and LB W.Herring (shldr) are questionable.

Tennessee at San Francisco:

Trends
Tenn is:
1) 10-3-2 ATS vs. NFC West.
2) 15-3-1 ATS as a non-conference dog.
3) 0-7 UNDER away off home win.

SF is:
1) 1-5 ATS L6 in series.
2) 6-0 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards.

Notes: Tenn: CB N. Harper (forearm) is questionable. SF: CB N. Clements (shldr) is out 6-8 weeks. OT J. Staley (leg) is out 6 weeks. DE D. Evans (shldr) is out at least 3 weeks.

San Diego at New York Giants:

Trends
SD is:
1) 23-10 ATS on the road vs. the NFC.
2) 11-3 ATS off BB SU wins.

Giants are:
1) Fave is 5-0 ATS L5 in series.
2) 19-8-2 OVER as a non-conf. favorite.
3) 48-75 UNDER off an OVER.

Notes: SD: LB K. Burnett (ankle) and C N.Hardwick (ankle) are questionable. NYG: DT C. Canty (calf), CB A.Ross (hamstring), WR S. Moss (foot) are questionable.

Dallas at Philadelphia:

Dal is:
1) 7-1 OVER L8 on road in series.
2) 18-8 OVER as a single digit dog.
3) 1-9 ATS away off cover as DD fave.

Philly is:
1) 5-1 ATS L6 in series.
2) 11-1 ATS after playing NY Giants.
3) 12-2 ATS off division game.

Notes: Dal: CB M.Hamlin (wrist) is questionable. Phil: G M.Jean-Gilles (shlder), DE V. Abiamiri (knee), LB D. Patterson (quad), and LB C.Gocong (hamstring) are questionable.

Monday, November 9

Pittsburgh at Denver:

Trends
Pitt is:
1) 9-2 L11 OVER in series.
2) 7-20-1 ATS a a non-division road fave.
3) 1-4 ATS as Monday Night faves.
4) 1-8 ATS before playing Cincinnati.

Denver is:
1) 6-1 ATS vs. AFC North.
2) 10-2 ATS as a home dog.

Notes: Pit: RB W.Parker (illness), S R.Clark (illness) and LB L. Timmons (ankle) are questionable.Den: S R. Hill (leg) is questionable.

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