NFL Week 6 Trends and Notes

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We’re almost at the halfway point of the season and there are still four teams that remain undefeated. Two of them will face each other this week, as the NY Giants travel to take on New Orleans. Denver, the surprise of the league at 5-0, visits San Diego, coming off a bye, on Monday night.

Minnesota and Brett Favre, undefeated and not really tested yet, host Baltimore, coming off two straight losses, at home. There weren’t many intriguing matchups in Week 5, but in Week 6, there are a handful of good games and few lousy ones as well.

Byes: Dallas, Indianapolis, Miami, San Francisco

Sunday, October 18

Kansas City at Washington
Trends
KC is:
1) 9-18-1 UNDER as a road dog.
2) 5-17-1 ATS away vs. NFC.
3) 4-0 ATS L4 in series.
4) 8-0 ATS after allowing 25+ BB games.

Wash is:
1) 4-2 ATS L6 Oct home games.
2) 4-12 UNDER as a non-conference favorite.
3) 0-9 UNDER as a favorite.
Notes: KC: OT B. Albert (leg) is ? Wash: OT C.Samuels (stinger) is doubtful. DE P. Daniels (bicep) and S R. Doughty (elbow) is ?

Houston at Cincinnati:
Trends
Hou is:
1) 0-5 ATS L5 October road games.
2) 2-11 ATS in Game 5 and 6 combined.
3) 9-2 ATS in 2nd of BB road games.
4) 9-2 OVER off a road loss.

Cincy is:
1) 1-8-1 ATS L10 October home games.
2) 1-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.
Notes: Hou: OG A. Caldwell (illness) is ? Cin: DE F. Rucker (ankle), LB R. Jeanty (finger) and S R.L. Williams (forearm) are ?

Cleveland at Pittsburgh:
Trends
Cleve is:
1) 5-11 ATS away in division play.
2) 5-1-1 OVER L7 on road in series.
3) 0-6 ATS away after scoring 9pts or less.

Pitt is:
1) 9-2 ATS L11 in series.
2) 4-1 ATS L5 at home in series.
3) 1-6 ATS off non-conf. road games.
4) 16-3-1 OVER as a division home fave.
Notes: DL K.Coleman (groin), OL R. Hadnot (knee), LB D.Jackson (hamstring) and PK P. Dawson (calf) are ? Pit: DE A. Smith (shldr) was placed on the IR. S T. Polamalu (knee) and RB W.Parker (toe) are probable.

Baltimore at Minnesota:
Trends
Balt is:
1) 5-1 ATS L6 on turf.
2) 5-1-1 ATS L7 in series.
3) 15-3-1 OVER as a dog.
4) 9-18-1 UNDER as a non-division road dog.
5) 1-6 ATS off a division loss.

Vikes are:
1) 10-21-1 ATS as a home fave of 3.5 or less.
2) 4-17 UNDER as a home fave of 3pts or less.
Notes: Balt: OL J.Gaither (neck) is ? Min: OT P.Loadholt (ankle) is ?

St. Louis at Jacksonville:
Trends
Rams are:
1) 4-12 UNDER on grass.
2) 12-25-1 ATS on grass.
3) 14-30-2 ATS on the road vs. a non-division foe.
4) 0-7 ATS after allowing 35+ points.

Jags are:
1) 14-2 ATS before playing Tennessee.
2) 19-9 ATS hosting an NFC teams.
3) 31-19-1 ATS vs. a non-division foe.
4) 9-0 ATS after scoring 6pts or less.
Notes: Stl: QB M. Bulger (rotator cuff) is probable. QB K. Boler (head) is ? S J. Butler (knee) and S A. Smith (Achilles) are ? Jax: no major key injuries.

NY Giants at New Orleans:
Trends
NYG are:
1) 16-6-1 ATS as a road dog after a SU win.
2) 5-0 ATS in dome games.

NOR is:
1) 18-26-1 ATS at home.
2) 40-21 OVER off a home win.
Notes: NYG: WR M. Manningham (chest), CB Aaron Ross (hamstring), RB A. Bradshaw (back) and OT K. Boss (ankle) are ? NOR: CB M. Jenkins (ankle), OT J. Bushrod (ankle) and RB M. Bell (knee) are ?

Carolina at Tampa Bay:
Trends
Car is:
1) 24-14-2 ATS on the road.
2) 1-8 UNDER in Weeks 5 through 9.

Bucs are:
1) 11-6 OVER as a home dog.
2) 24-13-1 OVER hosting a division foe.
3) 15-6-1 ATS as a home dog.
4) 34-22-3 ATS hosting a non-division team.
5) 5-1 ATS off loss by 14+ points.
Notes: Car: RB J. Stewart (Achilles) is ? TB: RB E. Graham (hamstring) and DE K. Moore (groin) are ?

Detroit at Green Bay:
Trends
Det is:
1) 0-18 SU L18 at Green Bay.
2) 5-1 OVER L6 in series.
3) 19-6 OVER as a road dog.
4) 6-0 ATS away after first month of season.

GB is:
1) 5-1 ATS L6 in series.
2) 8-3 ATS L11 at home in series.
3) 0-12 ATS as faves of more than 11 points.
4) 5-17 ATS as DD fave.
Notes: Det: DE J. Hunter (ankle), WR C. Johnson (knee), QB M. Stafford (knee) are ? GB: KR/CB Will Blackmon (knee) was placed on the IR.

Philadelphia at Oakland:
Trends
Philly is:
1) 7-12 UNDER as a non-division road fave.
2) 7-2 OVER L9 October road games.
3) 6-0 ATS after gaining 6 or more yards/play.

Oak is:
1) 3-0 ATS L3 in series.
2) 2-10 UNDER vs. the NFC.
3) 13-25 ATS as a home dog.
4) 1-8 ATS in non-conference games.
Notes: Phil:CB S. Brown (abdominal), CB Ellis Hobbs (wrist) and WR K. Curtis (knee) are ? OG T. Herremans (foot) is out. Oak: LB K. Morrison (knee), LB R. Brown (ankle), OG R. Gallery (leg) and WR C. Schilens (foot) are ? OT C. Green (calf) is out.

Arizona at Seattle:
Trends
Ariz is:
1) 8-2 OVER L10 in series.
2) 4-1 ATS L5 in series.
3) 22-9 OVER on turf.
4) 18-9-2 OVER as a division road dog.
5) 12-1 OVER off an UNDER.

Sea is:
1) 3-1 ATS L4 at home in series.
2) 4-10 UNDER as a home fave of 3.5 or less.
3) 1-14 ATS off a home win by 21+ points.
Notes: Ariz: no major key injuries. Sea: OL S. Locklear (ankle) is out. OT B. Foye (leg) was placed on the IR. OL R. Sims (ankle) is doubtful.

Buffalo at NY Jets:
Trends
Bills are:
1) 8-3 ATS L11 in series.
2) 3-0 ATS L3 on the road in series.
3) 10-4 ATS on the road vs. division foe.
4) 6-14 ATS as a division road dog.
5) 5-1 ATS after scoring 14 points 3 straight games.

Jets are:
1) 2-8 ATS after playing Miami.
2) 6-10 UNDER as a single-digit favorite.
Notes: Buf: RT J.Scott (ankle) is ? MLB K. Mitchell (leg) and LB M.Buggs (leg) are out for the season. S D. Whitner (thumb) and SS B. Scott (ankle) are ? NYJ: WR B.Smith (foot), CB L. Sheppard (quad), DB D. Strickland (ankle) and WR J. Cotchery (hamstring) are ?

Tennessee at New England:
Trends
Titans are:
1) 16-6 ATS as a dog.
2) 6-1 ATS before a bye week.
3) 4-0 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

NE is:
1) 6-2 ATS L8 at home in series.
2) 42-17-2 ATS as a non-division home fave.
3) 5-1 ATS off a SU loss.
Notes: Tenn: CB N. Harper (forearm) is out. CB C. Finnegan (hamstring) is ? NE: LT M. Light (leg) and TE B. Watson (head) are ? RB F. Taylor (ankle) is out at least 6-8 weeks.

Chicago at Atlanta:
Trends
Chi is:
1) 3-1 ATS L4 on road in series.
2) 9-25-1 UNDER as a non-division road dog.
3) 5-1 ATS L6 in series.
4) 9-0 OVER after a home game with a TO margin of +2 or better.

Atl is:
1) 0-6 UNDER L6 in series.
2) 16-25-1 ATS as a non-division home fave.
3) 8-20 ATS at home off DD win.
Notes: Chi: RB A. Peterson is out. WR/KR J. Knox (leg) is ? Atl: no major key injuries.

Monday, October 19

Denver at San Diego:
Trends
Den is:
1) 0-5 ATS L5 in series.
2) 4-10-1 ATS in division play.
3) 0-6 ATS after a win by 3 or less points.

SD is:
1) 6-3 L9 after a bye.
2) 3-0 L3 at home in series.
3) 3-9 UNDER as a division home favorite.

Remember to stick with ATS for all the latest NFL weekly expert picks.

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